AP4D Webinar | Prediction in an Unpredictable World

Forecasting and scenario planning are important techniques that organisations use to manage risks and make decisions when confronted with uncertainty. What are the key benefits and challenges of these approaches? How can overconfidence be mitigated against? And to what extent is the capacity to anticipate being affected by a more unpredictable and fast-moving world?

On Thursday 31 July AP4D hosted a webinar on ‘Prediction in an Unpredictable World’ to hear from experts from the business, humanitarian, security and development communities on the forecasting and scenario planning methods they use, and how it informs their work.

Featuring:

• Hon Dr Andrew Leigh MP, Assistant Minister for Productivity, Competition, Charities and Treasury
• Bridi Rice, CEO of the Development Intelligence Lab
• Brett Savill, Chief Operating Officer at the Institute for Economics & Peace
• Dr Merriden Varrall, Partner, Geopolitics Hub at KPMG Australia
• Philipp Ivanov, Founder and CEO, Geopolitical Risks and Strategy Practice
• Benjamin Tansing, Director of Business Development APAC at RANE Network (unfortunately Ben was unable to speak due to tech issues, you can learn more about RANE’s work here)
• Ciaran O’Toole, Department Director, Southeast Asia and the Pacific at Conciliation Resources
• Isabelle Arradon, Director of Research at International Crisis Group
• Dr Joanne Nicholson, Senior Researcher at RAND Australia
• Owen Cooper, Senior Advisor at the NSC Futures Hub •William Leben, Expert Associate at the ANU National Security College